Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.431135 0.470190 0.512744 0.562835 0.620549 0.685405 0.764438
2025-01-19 0.351774 0.405907 0.470239 0.553683 0.661154 0.798035 0.991044
2025-01-26 0.312344 0.376458 0.458083 0.572947 0.736394 0.971283 1.357810
2025-02-02 0.291086 0.363869 0.462163 0.611000 0.843886 1.222637 1.964982
2025-02-09 0.265555 0.340658 0.446509 0.615869 0.901539 1.417386 2.608174
2025-02-16 0.240683 0.314540 0.421918 0.600965 0.921177 1.551456 3.238155
2025-02-23 0.223835 0.297643 0.408146 0.599923 0.963625 1.747671 4.237869
2025-03-02 0.207369 0.279406 0.389714 0.587250 0.980069 1.894834 5.305058
2025-03-09 0.193079 0.263038 0.372219 0.573073 0.989538 2.030722 6.594562
2025-03-16 0.181066 0.249107 0.357121 0.560763 0.999786 2.175671 8.305823
2025-03-23 0.175292 0.244405 0.356710 0.575806 1.075260 2.559209 12.995700
2025-03-30 0.167187 0.235284 0.347769 0.572647 1.106765 2.826647 18.744036
2025-04-06 0.155999 0.220826 0.329022 0.548733 1.084717 2.907222 23.805720
2025-04-13 0.145463 0.206951 0.310500 0.523660 1.056130 2.959009 30.200288
2025-04-20 0.141046 0.202949 0.309327 0.535247 1.131757 3.540694 73.430626
2025-04-27 0.139537 0.203685 0.316820 0.567123 1.279829 4.731301 928.101663
2025-05-04 0.134650 0.198239 0.312151 0.570562 1.342431 5.581957 NaN
2025-05-11 0.128269 0.189778 0.300963 0.556918 1.343699 6.025417 NaN
2025-05-18 0.123784 0.184383 0.295290 0.555866 1.390085 6.988252 NaN
2025-05-25 0.118588 0.177422 0.285980 0.544500 1.395156 7.616965 NaN
2025-06-01 0.113648 0.170667 0.276602 0.531804 1.391770 8.194236 NaN
2025-06-08 0.109225 0.164626 0.268256 0.520774 1.392288 8.878314 NaN
2025-06-15 0.107419 0.163227 0.269216 0.534242 1.500939 11.715110 NaN